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Forex Trading Strategies Reddit: What you need to know to start Forex trading.

Forex Trading Strategies Reddit: What you need to know to start Forex trading.

FOREX Strategies

What are FOREX Strategies?
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You may have noticed that most of people confuse the terminology and refer to FOREX Strategies in the wrong way. There are methodologies, systems, strategies, and techniques. The most effective methodology is Price Language (Trend Tracking). Combined with a correct reading of mass psychology presented by the charts.
We know that in the Stock Markets there are thousands of strategies. FOREX, like the rest of the markets, presents you with the opportunity to apply similar strategies to win consistently. Taking advantage of repetitive psychological patterns.
First, the Price Language methodology has created great fortunes in FOREX, and the next fortune may be yours. But this methodology must be implemented within a framework of advanced concepts of Markets. Without forgetting the basics. And working hard day by day.
Second, a strategy is a set of parameters and techniques that together give you the advantage to act in any situation. Thus for example in war, generals have attack strategies and counterattack strategies.
FOREX strategies alike are entry strategies and exit strategies. All beginners should know these FOREX strategies for beginners. That way you will get a general idea of ​​the game and understand that trading is a war against the Market and its Specialists. Only applying FOREX strategies revealed by the same Specialists and using their own techniques,
... you can survive in this war.
Do not fall into the trap of the many "systems" and "methods" that are offered on the internet about operating in the FOREX Market. They just don't work in the long run. They are strategies based on indicators for the most part. Using rigid parameters. That if they can work and give profitability during a certain period of time, they will always reach a breaking point when the market changes its dynamics.
Instead, take advantage of your precious time and learn the Language of Price or Price Action.
The Language methodology will allow you to adapt to each new phase of the Market. If you combine this knowledge with the appropriate psychological concepts, you can live comfortably from speculation in FOREX.

Forex Trading Strategies Reddit - Basic FOREX Strategies

You have two basic FOREX strategies, one entry, and one exit. Both follow a general strategy that helps you capitalize on the collective behaviors of the Market. That is, of the total of participating speculators.
This behavior causes the formation of cycles that repeat over and over again. Driven by the basic emotions (uncertainty, greed, and panic) of the speculators involved that can be taken advantage of with the aforementioned FOREX strategies. Specialists identify these emotions in the order flow and capitalize on these events every hour, every day, and every month.
Basic FOREX Strategies - The Price Cycle
These repetitive cycles consist of 4 phases:
  1. Accumulation
  2. Upward trend
  3. Distribution
  4. Downward trend
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The two trends can be easily identified by their notorious breakdown. And the two areas of uncertainty (accumulation and distribution), due to their notorious range trajectories.
This general behavior determines the core of our FOREX strategies.
You buy when the price of a pair has broken and has come out of one of its congestion formations (accumulation or distribution). You implement one of the Forex strategies, in this case, the entry one.
The multi-time technique will help you find the point of least risk when entering your initial buy or sell order. In the same way and using the same strategy but this time to close your position, the multiple timing technique will also show you how to close your operation obtaining the highest possible profit.
The most consistent way to extract profits in the market is by trading the start of trends within a cycle . Once confirmed by their respective breaks from the areas of uncertainty. This is the mother of all FOREX strategies . And in a market that operates 24 hours, we have more frequent cycles and therefore more opportunities.

Forex Trading Strategies Reddit - Advanced Forex Strategies

There are many advanced FOREX strategies that are generally used by professional speculators working for large financial firms.
Among these firms are banks, Investment Fund managers and Hedge Fund managers. The latter is an investment modality similar to Investment Funds, with the difference that Hedge Funds use more complex investment strategies. Its operations are more oriented to aggressive speculations in the short and medium-term.
Among the most common strategies is hedging (hedging), carry trade, automated systems based on quantum mathematics. And a large number of combinations between the different option strategies.

The Carry Trade

The central idea of ​​Carry Trade is to buy a pair in which the base currency has a considerably higher interest rate than the quoted currency. To earn the difference in rates regardless of whether the price of the pair rises or falls.
Suppose we buy a $ 100,000 lot of AUDJPY, which according to the rates on the chart would turn out to be the ideal instrument in this example to use the Forex carry trade strategy.
As our capital is in US dollars we have to assume for our example, the following quotes necessary to perform the place calculations:
AUD / JPY = 80.00 USD / JPY = 85.00
What happens internally in your broker is this.
  1. By placing as collateral $ 1,000 of your $ 50,000 of capital (assumed for this example), deposited in your account, you have access to $ 100,000 virtual (this is what is known as leverage); that is, you put in $ 1,000 and your broker lends you 99,000.
  2. With those $ 100,000 virtual dollars, your broker borrows on your behalf ¥ 8,500,000 Japanese yen (85 × 100,000) at 0.1% annual interest from a Japanese bank.
  3. With those ¥ 8,500,000 Japanese yen, your broker buys A $ 106,250 Australian dollars (8,500,000 / 80) and deposits it in an Australian bank where it receives 4.5% annual interest on your behalf.
  4. One year later (and regardless of the profit or loss generated by the pair's movement), your profit will be the difference between the AUD rate and the JPY rate, that is:
Profit = (AUD rate) - (JPY rate) - (costs of the 2 currency exchanges) Profit = (4.5%) - (0.1%) - (0.1% to 1%)
The great advantage of carry trade FOREX strategies is that this percentage profit is applied to the $ 100,000 of the standard lot; the broker transfers all of the profit to you, even if you only contributed $ 1,000. On the other hand, if you carry out the inverse of this operation, this benefit of the Forex carry trade becomes a cost (swap), and you assume it completely.
Remember that FOREX carry trade strategies are recommended for pairs with considerable interest rate differences, such as the one we have just seen in our example.
These FOREX strategies should also not be used in isolation. The idea is that through technical analysis you identify when would be the ideal time to enter the market using your carry trade Forex strategy and multiply your profits considerably.

What FOREX Strategies Do Hedge Funds Use?

The FOREX strategies used by large fund managers do not constitute an advantage in terms of percentage results for them, nor do they constitute a competitive disadvantage for you.
The vast majority of them fail because of their big egos. In fact, there was a firm made up of great financial geniuses, including 2 winners of the Nobel Prize in Economics, who developed a strategy based on quantum mathematical calculations.
With an initial base capital of about 3 billion dollars, and after 3 successful years obtaining annual returns of over 40%, the firm Long-Term Capital Management, begins its fourth year with losses. To counteract these losses the geniuses decide to multiply the initial capital several times, while the losses continued.
The year closed with the bankruptcy of the fund, and with a total accumulated loss of 1 trillion dollars, due to the great leverage used. And all for not admitting that the FOREX Strategies of Long Term Capital Management were not in line with the dynamics of the Market.
There are an overwhelming number of opportunities in the stock markets to make money interpreting the Language of Price.
You don't need to use complex "advanced" strategies that have been created to handle hundreds or billions of dollars.
The reasons for using these FOREX strategies are very different from what a "retail trader" pursues with his small speculation business.
As you can see, you should not worry about wanting to integrate any of these advanced strategies into your arsenal. They are only beneficial for managing hundreds or billions of dollars, where the return parameters are very different when you handle small amounts of capital.
Do not worry about collecting hundreds of free FOREX strategies that circulate on the internet, that great accumulation of mediocre information will only serve to confuse you and waste your valuable time.
Spend that time learning Price Action,
… And you will always be one step behind the Specialists, identifying each new Market condition, and anticipating the vast majority of reversals of all prices.
Ironically, the most successful fund managers indicate that their most profitable trades are those based on the basic trend-following strategies of the Price Language. The same ones that you will learn in this Free Course.
Dedicate yourself to perfecting them and believe me you won't need anything else. As long as you have good risk management, taking into consideration the following points ...

Styles of Investments in FOREX

The Investment FOREX long term is not recommended for small investors like you and me. If we take into account the term investing literally as large investors do who buy a financial product today to sell it years later.
We both have a better niche in the short and medium-term.
You may have noticed that the big multi-year trends in the Forex Market do exist. But minor swings within a big trend are usually very wide.
These minor movements allow us to easily double and triple the annual return of the big general trend, motivating most traders to speculate in the short and medium-term.
These minor oscillations or trends that occur within the large multi-year trends owe their occurrence mainly to two reasons.
First, the FOREX Market presents 3 sessions a day each in different cities of the world with different time zones (Asia, Europe, and America). This causes more frequent trend changes than in the rest of the stock markets.
Second, the purpose for which it was created also plays a role. The modern Foreign Exchange Market, since its inception in 1972, was conceived by the global financial system as a tool for speculation. To obtain benefits in the short and medium-term (from several days to 1 year).
These two points are basically the reasons why we observe the immense speed with which the FOREX market changes trends.
For example, for those who live in America, in the early morning (Europe) the EURUSD pair may be on the rise, in the morning or afternoon (America) it may be down, and then finally at night (Asia) it may return to the rise.

Define your Own Style for your FOREX Investments

One of the first decisions you will have to make is to choose your style as a trader or investor.
There are 4 types of well-defined styles.
Most professional traders tend to have multiple styles, although they always identify with one primary style for their FOREX investments. Study the characteristics of the 4 main styles to make your investments in FOREX :
1. Long Term: recommended for anyone who is going to enter the market for the first time and who can dedicate a minimum of one hour per month to their investments in Forex. The period of an open position ranges from 1 year to 5 years.
2. Medium Term: recommended for anyone who is going to enter the market for the first time and who can dedicate a minimum of one hour per week to their investments in Forex. The period of an open position ranges from 1 month to 1 year.
3. Short Term: recommended for anyone who is going to enter the market for the first time, or who already has a certain time operating in the long and medium-term, showing constant profits, and who can dedicate a minimum of one hour per day to your investments in FOREX. The period of an open position ranges from 1 day to 1 month.
4. Intraday : recommended only for people with a fairly solid earnings record in the short term, and with a capital greater than $ 50,000. As we have noted, this option constitutes a full-time job.
People who start investing in FOREX , should start executing short-term (weeks) and medium-term (months) transactions only, and not pay attention to intraday oscillations (day trading).
If you are interested in being an intraday speculator, I recommend that you first exhaust at least a year doing operations in the short and medium-term to assimilate the correct strategies and to develop the necessary mentality to carry out this work.
The second option would be to participate in some kind of intensive training.
I remind you that self-educating is almost impossible in speculation. You are likely to accumulate a lot of knowledge by reading books and attending courses. But you will probably never learn to make money with all the incomplete "systems" circulating on the internet.

Mistakes to Avoid When Looking for Your Style

Many people who are new to FOREX investments make the mistake of combining these styles, which is a key to failure.
I recommend that if you are not getting the results you expected by adopting one of these styles, do not try to change it. The problem sure is not in the style, but in your strategies or in your psychology.
A successful investor is able to make a profit in any longer trading time than he is used to. I explain. If you are already a profitable operator in the short term, it is very likely that you will also be profitable in the medium and long term,
… As long as you can interpret the Language of Price or Price Action.
In the opposite case, the same would not happen. If you were a medium-term trader, you would need time to adjust to the intraday. The reality is that long, medium and short term traders have very similar personalities. The intraday trader is completely different.

The Myth of the Intraday in Investments in FOREX

If you are already successful in the short, medium and long term, you will notice that the sacrifice and the hours necessary in front of the computer to operate intraday is much greater. The intraday style will be useful to increase your account if it is less than USD $ 100,000 in a very short time in exchange for 8 to 12 hours a day of hard work but ...
You must first develop the necessary skills to operate the intraday.
The ideal is to combine all the styles to get more out of the Market and carry out more effective transactions and have a diversification in your investments in FOREX.
There are intraday traders that are very successful, but the reality is that there are very few in the world that make a profit year after year. If you want to become an intraday, you just have to prepare yourself properly through intensive training.
Otherwise, I recommend that you don't even think about educating yourself to adopt the intraday style. It is not necessary to go against a probability of failure greater than 99%. Unless
... your ego is greater than your common sense.
The main reason why this style of investments in FOREX is not recommended for the vast majority of us "retail investors" (the official term "retail traders"), is the high operational cost.
The real commissions in this market range between $ 2.0 and $ 2.50 for each lot of 100,000 virtual units. This means that a complete operation (opening and closing) is approximately $ 5.00, for each standard lot traded ($ 100,000 virtual).
Another fundamental reason is the advent of robotic traders (HFT = High-Frequency Trading), which tend to manipulate the market in the shorter intraday swings. Please do not confuse HFTs with automated systems that we find daily on the internet, and that can be purchased for a few hundred dollars and often for free on FOREX forums / groups.
These HFTs to which I refer, they are effective. They cost millions of dollars and have been developed by the large Wall Street financial firms to manage their investments in FOREX.
The reality of the intraday trader is that you execute orders for large lots at the same time, to profit from the smallest movements in the market. It is an activity based on reflexes. The slightest oversight or distraction can turn into a catastrophe for your FOREX investments.
I recommend that you start investing in FOREX using slow time periods such as H4 or Daily. For some reason, all Goldman Sachs intraday FOREX investments are made with algorithms.

Finally…

To choose your style as a trader and manage your investments in FOREX, first determine what your degree of experience is, analyze the points mentioned below and the rest you will discover when you execute your first operations.
The points that will affect your decision are:
  • Capital
  • Time available each day
  • Level of Experience
  • Personality
Discovering your style is a search process. For some it will be a long way to find the right time frame that matches their personality. Don't be put off by the falls. After all, those who continue the path despite the falls are the ones who reach the destination.
And I hope you are one of those who get up over and over again. The next lesson will boost your confidence when you discover the main reason that moves currencies ...

Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading Reddit

The fundamental analysis in Forex is used mostly by long-term investors. Players as we saw in the styles of operators, start a negotiation today, to close it years later.
I always emphasize the importance that the mass media give to this type of analysis to distract the great mass of participants.
It is all part of a great mass psychological manipulation. For centuries the ignorance of the masses has been organized before the great movements begin.
The important news are the macroeconomic reports published by the Central Banks and other government agencies destined for this work. All reports are made up. 99% of them are corrected months later.
These events are tools to justify fundamental analysis and price cleaning movements. Any silly headline does the job. With this, it is possible to absorb most of the existing liquidity, before the new trend phase is projected.

Reaction!

Except in rare situations, the result of an economic report of the fundamental analysis is generally already assimilated in the graph. In most cases, there are financial institutions that already have access to this information and are organizing and carrying out their operations in advance.
The phrase buy the rumor and sell the news is a very old adage on Wall Street. And its meaning contains what we have just explained. For the investor who can interpret the Language of Price, fundamental analysis is of little importance. Well, in general, their disclosure does not indicate that you have to take any action in your open trades , as long as your entry strategy provides you with a good support cushion.
This reality of fundamental analysis causes a lot of confusion for investors who lack in-depth knowledge of the forex market.

Macroeconomic Data

The data published in these events is irrelevant. Both for speculators and for the people in general. They are false. They lack reliability.
The price can go up or down with the same result of the data. The main ones are:
- Interest Rates - GDP (gross domestic product) - CPI (inflation) - ISM (manufacturing index) - NFP (payroll) - Double Deficits (deficit = fiscal + balance of payments)
If you are initiated, I recommend you avoid operating near these events. It is only a matter of having the time pending. Use the economic calendar for Fundamental Analysis of Forex Factory.
There is a probabilistic advantage in operating these fundamental analysis events. But it takes preparation, experience, and practice. They represent a way of diversifying in the general operation of a speculator.

The Uncertainty of Fundamental Analysis

On many occasions after the disclosure of an economic report, the price movement of the currency pair that is going to be affected tends to move in the opposite direction to the logic of the report.
I show you an example of a fundamental analysis report. Imagine that the EUR / USD pair is trading at 1.2500, and the FED (US Federal Reserve) issues a statement announcing that it has just raised inter-bank interest rates from 0.25 points to 0.75 points. Very positive news for the US dollar that logically implies an appreciation of the currency and consequently an instantaneous collapse of the EUR / USD pair (up the dollar and down the euro)
However, minutes after the release of said fundamental analysis report, the pair after effectively collapsing to 1.2400, returns and returns to its levels prior to the report (1.2500). This situation is very common , but it is not so easy to identify it when it is occurring, but after the damage is done.
Traps like these devour the accounts of beginners who approach the market with little experience, with weak strategies, and especially with very little experience.
That is why I reiterate that you forget the fundamental analysis for now. Just keep in mind when operating, that there is no publication scheduled nearby. Just check the economic calendar for the day and forget about the numbers. Let the economists mess around with the data.

FOREX Market Correlation

The Forex market correlation exists between pairs with similar "base" currencies and not always under the same circumstances. The correlation in the Forex market that is most followed and that has the greatest impact on fundamental analysis is that of the US dollar (USD).
The USD is the most traded monetary unit with a volume greater than 80% with respect to the rest of the currencies. This fact determines why their correlation is the most important, the most followed, and perhaps the only one worth following in the fundamental macro analysis.
The 7 major pairs are usually in sync . These 7 pairs all include the USD and present a fundamental analysis correlation almost 75% of the time. Influencing the rest of the currency pairs.

Advantages of the FOREX Market Correlation

In the fundamental analysis the most basic FOREX correlation is the following. When the USD appreciates, the USD / CAD, USD / CHF, and USD / JPY pairs tend to go up in price. This indicates that the Canadian dollar (CAD), the Swiss franc (CHF), and the Japanese yen (JPY) are losing value against the USD.
We must bear in mind that this correlation does not occur 100% of the time. In fact, the JPY generally tends to move in the opposite direction , since in recent decades this currency has been used as a source of financing to invest in other financial instruments.
On the other side is the FOREX market correlation that generates a movement almost in unison in the other 4 major pairs EUR / USD, GBP / USD, AUD / USD, and NZD / USD. These tend to fall in price, homologous the appreciation of the USD. But not always.
In this case the fundamental analysis correlation works most of the time, between 65 and 85% of the time. Small differences are noted in the extent that each of these pairs experiences.
There is also a correlation in the secondary FOREX market, where the pairs of all currencies that do not include the USD participate, but I recommend you not to waste time on them for now. There are more important things about the Language of Price to know first.

FOREX Commodity Correlation

In this part I will explain to you in a basic way the Correlation Commodities - FOREX of the fundamental analysis.
There are three currencies that have a direct correlation with commodities. They are usually called: "COMDOLLS" which is short for "Commodities Dollars" (Commodities Dollars), since all three obey the dollar denomination. These are:
- The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) - The Australian Dollar (AUD) - The Canadian Dollar (CAD)
These three currencies make up the group of the 8 largest together with the euro, the pound, the yen, the franc and the US dollar. Together, they merge to produce the major pairs traded in the FOREX Foreign Exchange Market.
The FOREX Commodity Correlation has an affinity in most cases greater than 75%. And each of them has its different raw material of correlation. You will notice that the NZD and the AUD are two currencies that act practically in unison. Both present minimal discrepancies in their fluctuations in the short, medium and long term.
This is mainly because their economies are very similar and their economic and fiscal policies are too. Their main production items also show great similarities, despite the fact that the Australian economy is much larger than the New Zealand economy.
The raw materials that follow the movement of the AUD are mainly gold and copper. If you put the history of these three quotes during the last decade of the year 2,000 together on the same chart, you will notice a very similar upward movement between the three quotes. Pure correlation of fundamental analysis.
This strong correlation with commodities in the metals area for the AUD has provided Australia with an economic advantage enviable over the other major powers that have seen their currencies devalue sharply against the AUD. At the same time, they experience a constant decrease in the purchasing power of their citizens.
The NZD maintains a correlation with raw materials related to agriculture and livestock, mainly including milk and its derivatives. It is one of the countries that dominates the world export of these economic items, and also has important exports of metals , although in smaller quantities than Australia.
Finally, you have a correlation with raw materials in the energy area. For historical reasons the CAD, which is not the largest oil producer in the world, but an important supplier to the largest consumer that is the US, has seen its currency oscillate in line with oil prices.
To make long-term investments in the Foreign Exchange Market, it is necessary to take into consideration at least one Commodity Correlation - FOREX in your fundamental analysis.

Forex Technical Analysis Reddit

The technical analysis is the methodology that interprets the movements of the price. Specialists look for liquidity to fund their business. The repetition of the strategies used by the specialists in their work generate repetitive patterns.
If you were an analyst, you would develop the visual ability to identify such patterns on a graph. If you were a programmer you would quantify them mathematically using complex formulas.
And if you could learn to interpret the Language of Price, you would have the ability to anticipate 90% of all movements that occur on a chart. And in this business, anticipating is what will make you money.
Market prices are reflected and framed on a horizontal time axis and a vertical price axis. Prices go up or down according to the aggressiveness of the participating operators. In an efficient or balanced market these oscillations should be imperceptible.
But in reality this is not the case, since the Market works thanks to the digital printing of hundreds of billions of units of paper money systematically distributed by the Central Banks through the banking system. These resources serve as a tool to manipulate 100% of the movements that occur in the FOREX Market.
Are you looking for Technical Indicators? All technical indicators were created from the 70's. How do you think that for more than 200 years the speculators of the past accumulated great wealth?
With the Language of Price. The best timing is given by the price itself. Indicator-generated entry signals usually occur at the wrong time.
The basis of technical analysis is human psychology. Unfortunately, human beings are not perfect and are loaded with emotions that dominate their behavior in similar situations, creating repetitive and highly predictable behavior when it occurs in masses.
The study of technical analysis through indicators and subjective training, originates and shapes the collective thinking on which all the traps that specialists execute every day to maintain their business are designed. If the majority won, the Market would cease to exist.
Although you already know that the patterns are not generated by the masses , but the repetitive behavior of the Specialists in the face of the action response of the masses. It is very easy for speculaists, because they can see everyone's orders in their books.
And they also exert a great influence on the decisions of the masses through the mass media. It is what I call the war between the Egg and the Stone , if you hit me you win and if I hit you also you win.

The Deception of Modern Technical Analysis

Through the centuries thousands of people have been able to extract great benefits from the financial markets by applying the basic strategies of technical analysis and the psychology of the Price Language.
More than 200 years ago when the markets began to operate officially, fundamental analysis predominated, which was only used by large financial institutions. As this analysis tool began to become popular, these institutions began to apply the strategies of technical analysis.
In recent decades and with the massification of internet technology, technical analysis has begun to be handled by anyone who has a computer with internet access. The same financial institutions, which have been present for more than a century and as a result of this overcrowding , establish a strategy to confuse and misinform about the true strategies of technical analysis.
This has been accomplished in the following manner. Currently there are hundreds, if not thousands of technical indicators that have been developed by so-called "gurus" of technical analysis and that sell their magic indicators packed in a "system" or "method" that usually cost thousands of dollars, or simply with the publication of a book with which they generate large profits. Double benefit.
The aim is to confuse the initiates in speculation and create the collective mentality that will originate the same behaviors over and over again. About 95% of these new entrants completely lose all the capital they invest in their early stages as investors.
Leaving them with a negative experience and creating the idea and the image that financial markets are an exclusive area for geniuses with high academic levels and that only they can produce returns in the markets year after year.
The initiate, having lost all his original capital, turns to these “gurus” for help and teachings. You spend more capital on the products they offer you and the cycle repeats itself . Obviously, the vast majority do not relapse and completely forget to re-engage in the stock markets.
I hope you have not been a victim of this drama.
Now I will show you the simplicity of a FOREX technical analysis , without the need to resort to any indicator as a tool to determine an effective entry or exit strategy when planning your operations.

The Price Cycle

Previously you studied in the FOREX strategies lesson, that the typical price cycle when it is reflected in a graph, presents four very specific phases and very easy to identify if you perform a technical analysis with common sense . These are:
  • Accumulation
  • Bullish trend
  • Distribution
  • Bearish trend
Remember also that the most effective way to constantly extract profits in the markets is by taking advantage of phases 2 and 4 (the trends). Combined with a correct reading of the collective behavior of the masses of speculators interpreting the Language of Price.
You will be surprised by the simplicity with which thousands of people around the world and over the centuries have accumulated large sums of money by drawing a few simple lines and applying responsible risk management with their capital.

How to Identify Trends?

Being able to determine the trend phases within the price cycle is the essence of technical analysis since it is these two phases that provide you with the probabilistic advantage you need to operate in the markets and obtain constant returns.
In the most plain and simple language, in the world of technical analysis, there are only two types of formations: trends and ranges.
The trends, in turn, can be bullish if they go up, or bearish if they go down. The ranges, on the other hand, can be accumulation if they are at the beginning of the cycle, or distribution if they are in the high part of the cycle. As I had indicated in the topic of FOREX strategies when describing the price cycle.
This sounds more like a play on words, but I will show you the practical definition to simplify your life and then you will apply these definitions on the graph so that everything makes more sense to you.
  • Bullish trend: a succession of major highs and major lows
  • Bearish trend: a succession of minor highs and minor lows
  • Floor Range: equal highs and varied lows
  • Ceiling Range: equal minimums and varied maximums
https://preview.redd.it/vvmsshf0guv51.png?width=600&format=png&auto=webp&s=c321679a7dcc03f7184778be86379ef442fddf91
Some key points from the graph:
  • The start of this big uptrend was detected when the last high (thick green line) of the previous downtrend was broken to the upside, ending the succession of lower highs, while exiting the lateral floor formation.
  • The succession of major lows in the uptrend (thin blue lines)
  • The succession of major highs in the uptrend (thin green lines)
  • The end of the uptrend was detected when the last low (thick blue line) of the uptrend was broken to the downside, ending the succession of higher lows, while exiting the lateral ceiling formation.
A tool that will help you sharpen your technical eye and identify trends on the chart is the Currency Scanner. This application is very effective and will provide you with a much-needed boost in your operations to identify reliable trends. At first, we are not sure how reliable a trend is. You will receive great help to find opportunities with the Currency Scanner .

The Common Sense, The Less Common of Senses

The central idea of ​​technical analysis consists in determining the price situation of a market, that is, in which phase of the pattern of its cycle it is currently conjugated with the collective thinking of the masses and the possible traps that the market would have prepared to remove. the capital at stake by the public.
To carry out a precise technical analysis, you will use the support and resistance lines, which can be static (horizontal) or dynamic (projecting an angle with respect to the horizontal axis).
Your common sense prevails here.
If you show a 10-year-old a chart, they will be able to tell you if the price is going up or down. You will most likely have no idea how to draw the lines, but you will be able to establish the general trend. Simply using your common sense.
By introducing indicators and other gadgets , the simplicity and effectiveness of the technical analysis created by your common sense evaporates.
The following graph conceptually shows you all the possible situations in which you could draw these lines to carry out your technical analysis of the place. You can clearly observe a downtrend delimited by its dynamic trend line and an uptrend on the right side with its respective dynamic delimitation.
https://preview.redd.it/5iehg0r6guv51.png?width=500&format=png&auto=webp&s=84c265a5d35da7ea970792c4bf40fe20b33bd8bd

Forex Charts Analysis

I want to remind you that the formations or patterns that develop on the charts (triangles, wedges, pennants, boxes, etc.) only work to execute trades that have initially been confirmed by the static support and resistance lines and to read the collective thinking of the masses.
Chart formations work, but you must know the Language of Price to determine when the Specialists will exploit a chartist figure, or when they will allow it to run. In fact, you will learn with the Language that you can operate a chart figure in any direction.
Much of the "mentalization" that the masses receive is to believe that the figures are made to be respected. Which is an inefficient way of working. Simply because you could wait days or months for a perfect chart figure to occur in order to perform a reliable trade. When in fact there are dozens every day.

Japanese Candles

Of all the tools you have to carry out technical analysis, perhaps the best known and most popular is the Japanese technique of candles (candlesticks).
Candles are mainly used to identify reversal points on the chart without resorting to confirmation of horizontal trend lines and only using a previous bar or candle breaks.
Its correct use is subject to a multi-time analysis (multiple temporalities) and a general evaluation of the context proposed by the market in general at the time of each scenario.
Later I will show you all the important details to take into account so that you use Japanese candles in a simple and very effective way.
Do not forget ... Trading in your beginnings based on formations (chartism) and candlestick patterns conjugated with hundreds of tools and technical indicators, constitutes the perfect path to your failure. Before using any strategy or technique I recommend you focus on learning the Price Language, which includes 3 basic things:
  • The Price: structure and dynamics
  • Market sentiment: relative strength, external shocks, etc.
  • Psychology: flexible mindset and risk acceptance
After you acquire this solid foundation, I guarantee that you will be able to trade any trading system that exists, any strategy, technique or chart figure in a profitable and consistent manner.
Specialists make money every day at the expense of the collective behavior caused by the use of these strategies and techniques. With which you will only manage to lose your capital and your time by putting the cart in front of the horse.
People who do the opposite, at best become,
... Philosophers of Speculation, or indocile Robot Assistants or Expert Advisors.
To make money in any market condition, range or trend, you must use the technical analysis based on the Price Language and combine it with a correct psychological reading of the price. This knowledge can only be acquired through proper education and lots of supervised practice. Like any other career in life.
I hope you've found this guide helpful!
submitted by kayakero to makemoneyforexreddit [link] [comments]

Forex Trading Basics Reddit - Forex Glossary Terms For Beginners

Forex Trading Basics Reddit - Forex Glossary Terms For Beginners

What is Forex - Terminology

https://preview.redd.it/pmjpy8sqh1x51.jpg?width=580&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b02715d6d6f153592a967f577c18578363ca731c
The FOREX market is the largest financial market in the world. On a daily basis, trillions of dollars are traded in different currencies around the world.
Being FOREX the basis for international capital transactions, its liquidity and volume are much greater than any other financial market. It is estimated that the average volume traded by the world's largest stock exchange, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in a full month, is equal to the volume traded daily in the Forex currency market. In addition, it is estimated that this volume will increase by 25% annually.
80% of transactions are between the US dollar (USD), the euro (EUR), the yen (JPY), the British pound (GBP), the Swiss franc (CHF), and the Australian dollars (AUD) and Canadian (CAD).

What is traded in the Forex market?

We could just say that money. Trading in FOREX simultaneously involves buying one currency (for example euros) and selling another (for example US dollars). These simultaneous purchase and sale operations are carried out through online brokers. Operations are specified in pairs; for example the euro and the dollar (EUR / USD) or the pound sterling and the Yen (GBP / JPY).
These types of transactions can be somewhat confusing at first since nothing is being purchased physically. Basically, each currency is tied to the economy of its respective country and its value is a direct reflection of people's perception of that economy. For example, if there is a perception that the economy in Japan is going to weaken, the Yen is likely to be devalued against other currencies. In other words, people are going to sell Yen and they are going to buy currencies from countries where the economy is or will be better than Japan.
In general, the exchange of one currency for another reflects the condition of the health of the economy of that country with respect to the health of the economy of other countries.
Unlike other financial markets such as the stock market, the currency market does not have a fixed location like the largest exchanges in the world. These types of markets are known as OTC (Over The Counter). Transactions take place independently around the world, mainly over the Internet, and prices can vary from place to place.
Due to its decentralized nature, the foreign exchange market is operated 24 hours a day from Monday to Friday.
>>> Forex Signals With Unbeatable Performance: Verified Forex Results And 5° Rated On Investing.com |Free Forex Signals Trial: CLICK HERE TO JOIN FOR FREE

Forex Trading Basics - Basic Forex Terminology

https://preview.redd.it/657dbjqvf1x51.jpg?width=421&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bd99eac3d8c68916078b089fc4af5ba14db289fc
As with any new skill that is learned, it is also necessary to learn its terminology. There are certain terms that you must know before you start trading Forex. Here are the main ones.

• Major and minor currencies

The 8 most widely used currencies (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, NZD, and AUD) are known as “ major currencies ”. All other currencies are called " minor currencies ." You don't need to worry about minor currencies, as you probably won't start trading them for now. The USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, and CHF currencies are the most popular and most liquid currencies on the market.

• Base currency

The base currency is the first currency in any currency pair. It shows how much the base currency is worth against the second currency. For example, if the USD / CHF has a rate of 1.6350, it means that 1 USD is worth 1.6350 CHF. In the forex market, the US dollar is in many cases the base currency to make quotes, the quotes are expressed in units of $ 1 on the other currency of the pair.
In some other pairs, the base currency is the British pound, the euro, the Australian dollar, or the New Zealand dollar.

• Quoted currency

The quote currency is the second currency in the currency pair. This is often referred to as a "pip-currency" and any unrealized gains or losses are expressed in this currency.

• Pip

A pip is the smallest unit of the price of any currency. Almost all currencies consist of 5 significant digits and most pairs have the decimal point immediately after the first digit. For example EUR / USD = 1.2538, in this case, a pip is the smallest change in the fourth decimal space, which is, 0.0001.
A notable exception is the USD / JPY pair where the pip equals $ 0.01.

• Purchase price (bid)

The buying price (bid) is the price at which the market is ready to buy a specific currency in the Forex market. At this price, one can sell the base currency. The purchase price is displayed on the left side.
For example, in GBP / USD = 1.88112 / 15, the selling price is 1.8812. This means that you can sell a GPB for $ 1.8812.

• Sale Price (ask)

The asking price is the price at which the market is ready to sell a specific currency pair in the Forex market. At this price, you can buy the base currency. The sale price is displayed on the right-hand side.
For example, at EUR / USD = 1.2812 / 15, the selling price here is 1.2815. This means that you can buy one euro for $ 1.2815. The selling price is also called the bid price.

• Spread

All Forex quotes include two prices, the bid (offer) and the ask (demand).
The bid is the price at which the broker is willing to buy the base currency in exchange for the quoted currency. This means that the bid is the price at which you can sell.
The ask is the price at which the broker is willing to sell the base currency in exchange for the quoted currency. This means that the ask is the price at which you will buy. The difference between the bid and the ask is popularly known as the spread and is the consideration that the online broker receives for its services.

• Transaction costs

The transaction cost, which could be said to be the same as the Spread, is calculated as: Transaction Cost = Ask - Bid. It is the number of pips that are paid when opening a position. The final amount also depends on the size of the operation.
It is important to note that depending on the broker and the volatility, the difference between the ask and the bid can increase, making it more expensive to open a trade. This generally happens when there is a lot of volatility and little liquidity, as happens during the announcement of some relevant economic data.

• Cross currency

A cross-currency is any pair where one of the currencies is the US dollar (USD). These pairs show an erratic price behavior when the operator opens two operations in US dollars. For example, opening a long trade to buy EUR / GPB is equivalent to buying EUR / USD and selling GPB / USD. Cross-currency pairs generally carry a higher transaction cost.

• Margin

When you open a new account margin with a Forex broker, you must deposit a minimum amount of money to your broker. This minimum varies depending on each broker and can be as low as € / $ 100 at higher amounts.
Each time a new trade is executed a percentage of your account margin balance will be the initial margin required for a new trade based on the underlying currency pair, current price, and the number of units (or lots) of the trade. .
For example, let's say you open a mini account which gives you a leverage of 1: 200 or a margin of 0.5%. Mini accounts work with mini lots. Suppose a mini lot equals $ 10,000. If you are about to open a mini lot, instead of having to invest $ 10,000, you will only need $ 50 ($ 10,000 x 0.5% = $ 50).

• Leverage

Leverage is the ratio of the capital used in a transaction to the required deposit. It is the ability to control large amounts of dollars with relatively less capital. Leverage varies drastically depending on the broker, it can go from 1: 2 to even 1: 2000. The most common level of leverage in Forex can currently be around 1: 200.

• Margin + leverage = dangerous combination

Trading currencies on margin allows you to increase your buying power. This means that if you have $ 5,000 in account margin that allows you a 1: 100 leverage, you can then buy $ 500,000 in foreign exchange as you only have to invest a percentage of the purchase price. Another way of saying this is that you have $ 500,000 in purchasing power.
With more purchasing power you can greatly increase your potential profits without an outlay of cash. But be careful, working with a high margin increases your profits but also your losses if the trade does not progress in your favor.
>>> Forex Signals With Unbeatable Performance: Verified Forex Results And 5° Rated On Investing.com |Free Forex Signals Trial: CLICK HERE TO JOIN FOR FREE
submitted by kayakero to makemoneyforexreddit [link] [comments]

Question from a new FX trader

So I've been starting trading forex about a week ago and so far seem to be profitable.
I already have experience trading stocks and options as well as gambling with binaries back when they were still legal in europe.
My strategy so far is to just long EUUSD and respectively short USD/CHF as there are literally no good news comming from the states and the trend shows. Decision for these 2 pairs is based upon the fact that I'm most informed on the euro coming from europe myself and the CHF has always been a very stable and strong currency, so most of the movement in USD/CHF should be from the USD.
So I basically go in long on the EUUSD (short USD/CHF), especially when its dipping, and open up 3-5 positions hroughout a day all with .01 lots. I then let it rest until im satisfied with the profits or I think it will turn. Stop loss at 40 pips.
Reason for the multiple positions a day being cost average effect which seems to work very well with long term stonks.
Now the real question: Would it make sense to hold positions for longer than lets say, a week? Or would the swap/commission consume most of the profit? Because as of right now I don't really see the USD rising in value anytime soon. So in theory I would open up positions, whenever there seems to be a good entry point and hold it for a few months until there are good news coming from the states.
submitted by ZechR1 to Forex [link] [comments]

İsveç Frangı (CHF) + Japon Yeni (JPY) + Altın güvenli liman talebi ile yükselişte

Doların küresel piyasalarda değer kaybettiği güvenli liman varlıkların değer kazandığı işlem gününde altındaki atak da hızlandı. Ons altın bugün 1,768$ ile 18 Mayıs’taki zirveyi de aşarak 8 yılın en yükseğine çıktı. Onstaki yükselişin etkisiyle gram fiyatı da 389,600 TL’ye çıkarak 18 Mayıs sonrası zirveyi gördü.
Güvenli varlıkların değer kazandığı bugün frank ve yen de dolar karşısında yükselişte. Dün 107,0 seviyesine çıkan USD/JPY bugün 107,22’yi görmesinin ardından 106,20’ye gerileyerek 8 Mayıs sonrası en düşük seviyeye indi. USD/CHF 0,9530 seviyesinden dün itibariyle düşüşe geçti ve bugün de 0,9430’a indi.
https://tr.investing.com/news/forex-news/frank-yen-ve-altn-guvenli-liman-talebi-ile-yukseliste-1976687
---
Not: Türkiye'deki bütün özel bankalar İsveç Frangı ve Japon Yeni satıyor. Tıpkı Dolar veya Euro alır gibi bu para birimlerini de kolayca alabilirsiniz.
submitted by barisba to Yatirim [link] [comments]

Các tiêu chí cần lưu ý để chọn sàn forex uy tín

Các tiêu chí cần lưu ý để chọn sàn forex uy tín
5 tiêu chí cần thiết để lựa chọn một sàn forex uy tín

https://preview.redd.it/ycstjqog9e651.jpg?width=600&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b34950f7f5db59c7fdde183b41b236f873d67f35
Hướng dẫn mở tài khoản forex uy tín tại Việt Nam
1. Uy tín của sàn forex.
Tại Mỹ, một sàn forex uy tín sẽ phải là thành viên National Futures Association – Hiệp hội tương lai quốc gia (NFA) và sẽ được đăng ký với U. S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission – Ủy ban giao dịch hàng hóa tương lai của Mỹ (CFTC) với tư cách là một nhà giao dịch hợp đồng tương lai và đại lý bán lẻ ngoại hối.
Tương tự như vậy, với từng quốc gia sẽ có những cơ quan quản lý độc lập để xác định mức độ uy tín của sàn forex. Vì vậy, khi lựa chọn một sàn forex, hãy tìm hiểu xem sàn forex đó có được công nhận bởi một cơ quan uy tín không.
2. Các dịch vụ sàn forex cung cấp cho tài khoản giao dịch:
Đòn bẩy và Ký quỹ:
Một sàn forex tốt sẽ cung cấp cho tài khoản giao dịch Forex nhiều lựa chọn đòn bẩy khác nhau, có thể chỉ từ 50: 1 hoặc 888:1 (như sàn XM.COM). Đòn bẩy có thể giúp nhà giao dịch kiếm được lợi nhuận lớn với một lệnh giao dịch đi đúng hướng nhưng cũng có thể thổi bay tài khoản của nhà giao dịch bất cứ lúc nào. Do đó, hãy lựa chọn một mức đòn bẩy phù hợp.
Hoa hồng và Spreads:
Một sàn forex kiếm tiền thông qua hoa hồng và spread. Một sàn forex thu phí hoa hồng có thể tính một tỷ lệ phần trăm chênh lệch giữa giá thầu và giá yêu cầu của cặp ngoại hối. Tuy nhiên, nhiều sàn forex không tính phí hoa hồng, và thay vào đó kiếm tiền bằng cách tính spread rộng hơn. Spread càng rộng, thì càng khó kiếm được lợi nhuận. Vì vậy, một sàn forex tốt sẽ cung cấp một mức phía hoa hồng và spread vừa phải so với các sàn forex khác.
3. Các cặp tiền tệ được cung cấp
Trên thị trường forex có rất nhiều cặp tiền tệ có thể giao dịch, tuy nhiên, chỉ một số ít trong đó nhận được đa số sự chú ý của các trader. Do đó, bạn hãy lưu ý chỉ giao dịch các cặp tiền có tính thanh khoản lớn nhất, ví dụ như: đồng đô la Mỹ / Yên Nhật (USD/JPY), đồng Euro / đô la Mỹ (EUUSD), đồng đô la Mỹ / đồng franc Thụy Sĩ (USD/CHF) và bảng Anh/ đô la Mỹ (GBP/USD)…

https://preview.redd.it/7zqvkq1j9e651.png?width=600&format=png&auto=webp&s=73a82911c7f353bd603ebb08e9f811b37883a86a
Một sàn forex tốt phải cung cấp cho trader nhiều lựa chọn về các cặp ngoại hối, đặc biệt là họ cung cấp (các) cặp tiền tệ mà nhiều nhà đầu tư quan tâm.
4. Dịch vụ khách hàng
Giao dịch ngoại hối diễn ra 24 giờ một ngày, do đó, hỗ trợ khách hàng của sàn forex cần có khả năng hỗ trợ bất kỳ lúc nào.
Ngoài ra, việc kết nối với bộ phận hỗ trợ khách hàng của sàn forex đó phải dễ dàng, có độ tương tác cao, tư vấn nhiệt tình và giúp các nhà giao dịch nhanh chóng giải quyết được vấn đề gặp phải.
5. Nền tảng giao dịch
Sàn forex là cổng thông tin của nhà đầu tư vào thị trường. Do đó, một sàn forex chuyên nghiệp sẽ cung cấp nền tảng giao dịch dễ sử dụng, có nhiều công cụ phân tích kỹ thuật và các thao tác giao dịch cơ bản (như vào/thoát lệnh) có thể được thực hiện đơn giản.
Các bạn có thể tham khảo thêm tại http://papatrader.com để có sự lựa chọn cho mình
submitted by papatrader0101 to u/papatrader0101 [link] [comments]

Các cặp tiền chính trong forex

Các cặp tiền chính trong forex
Khi bạn giao dịch forex, tức là giao dịch mua bán các cặp tiền, có rất nhiều cặp tiền để các bạn giao dịch, trong đó có các cặp chính, cặp phụ hay cặp ngoại lai.
Ở bài viết này chúng ta sẽ cùng đi tìm hiểu các cặp chính trong forex là như thế nào?

https://preview.redd.it/3qo2d1xk4t251.jpg?width=490&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1ab98eaeabbc71dffbac4e12c0f0443fafdefb95

Cặp tiền tệ là gì?

Tiền tệ trong thị trường ngoại hối cũng như các sản phẩm để chúng ta mua bán. Khi giao dịch trên thị trường forex, bạn thực hiện các lệnh buy hoặc sell trên một cặp tiền.
Tỷ giá của mỗi cặp tiền tệ sẽ dao động theo đồng tiền tệ nào mạnh hơn tại thời điểm giao dịch. Các cặp tiền tệ được biểu thị bằng một loại tiền tệ này so với một loại tiền tệ khác. Chúng được ký hiệu là tiền tệ 1/tiền tệ 2.
Ví dụ : Nếu bạn đang giao dịch đồng đô la Mỹ so với đồng đô la Canada, nó sẽ được ký hiệu là USD/CAD.
USD/CAD là một trong những cặp tiền tệ chính trong thị trường forex.
Nếu bạn đang giao dịch đồng bảng Anh với đồng Yên Nhật, nó sẽ được ký hiệu là GBP/JPY.
Với mỗi cặp tiền, đồng tiền đầu tiên là hàng hóa và đồng tiền thứ hai đi sau là loại tiền để mua.
Ví dụ trong cặp EUUSD, đồng tiền thứ nhất, đồng Euro là hàng hóa và đồng tiền thứ hai, USD là loại tiền để mua nó. Khi ta mua EUUSD, có nghĩa là ta bỏ tiền USD ra để sở hữu đồng Euro. Việc ta giao dịch với loại đồng tiền nào chẳng có gì khác biệt cả. Ta có thể giao dịch với USD, GBP, CAD hoặc bất kỳ đồng tiền nào khác. Khi ta muốn mua EUUSD, nhà môi giới sẽ chuyển đổi số dư tài khoản của ta sang USD rồi dùng số tiền USD đó để mua EUR. Cơ chế làm việc là như vậy. Bất kỳ việc mua bán nào trong thị trường forex đều được thực hiện qua trung gian đồng USD.
Cũng chính vì đồng đô la Mỹ là đồng tiền chính nên việc mua bán tất cả các đồng tiền khác đều phải thông qua đồng USD.

2.Phân loại các cặp tiền tệ

2.1Cặp tiền tệ chính

Trong thị trường forex, cặp tiền tệ chính là tất cả các cặp chứa Đô la Mỹ (USD).
Bởi vì đồng đô là Mỹ là đồng rất mạnh, nên cặp tiền tệ nào có đồng USD thì sẽ mặc định là cặp tiền tệ chính.
Đây cũng là những cặp giao dịch thường xuyên nhất và có tính thanh khoản cao nhất trên thị trường forex.
Cặp ngoại hối EUUSD được giao dịch nhiều nhất trong thị trường forex.
Dưới đây là các cặp tiền tệ chính và các thuật ngữ mà các nhà giao dịch FOREX hay sử dụng.
+ EUUSD
+ GBP/USD
+ USD/JPY
+ USD/CAD
+ AUD/USD
+ USD/CHF
+ NZD/USD
Chúng ta sẽ đi chi tiết từng cặp tiền ở bên dưới

2.2 Cặp tiền tệ chéo

Cặp tiền tệ chéo là các cặp ngoại tệ không chứa đồng đô la Mỹ USD.
Dưới đây là các cặp tiền chéo của 3 loại tiền tệ lớn là Euro, Yên Nhật và Bảng Anh.
+ EUJPY
+ GBP/JPY
+ GBP/AUD
+ EUAUD
+ EUCAD
+ GBP/CAD
….
Trong đó, cặp tiền thông dụng nhất đối với các nhà giao dich tiền tệ là GBP/JPY, EUJPY và cả GBP/USD.
Riêng đối với cặp GBP/JPY là một trong những cặp tiền tệ được các trader thích mạo hiểm vô cùng ưa thích, vì biên động dao động lớn, dễ kiếm lợi nhuận. Và bởi vì lý do là nó biến động lớn và mạnh. Các tín hiệu mua bán của nó rõ ràng và mạnh mẽ, cũng như biên độ dao động lớn. Các nhà giao dịch tiền tệ mua bán GBP/JPY để thu lợi nhuận, nhưng con dao nào cũng có hai lưỡi. Việc thua lỗ cũng cao hơn nhiều.

3. Các cặp tiền tệ chính nào được giao dịch nhiều nhất

Trong số 7 cặp tiền chính, EUUSD là cặp tiền thông dụng nhất và có khối lượng giao dịch lớn nhất.
Thực tế cho thấy có trên 70% các giao dịch trong thị trường forex tập trung vào cặp EUUSD. Nhưng điều đó không có nghĩa rằng có đến 70% người tham gia giao dịch cặp tiền này
Các nhà giao dịch ngoại tệ cá nhân chỉ là một số lượng rất nhỏ của thị trường. Các giao dịch lớn được thực hiện do các Ngân hàng Trung ương và các liên ngân hàng.
Chúng ta cùng đi chi tiết từng cặp tiền tệ chính:
+ EUUSD: đây là cặp tiền chiếm hơn 70% lượng giao dịch trên thế giới, cũng là cặp tiền phổ biến nhất trong giao dịch forex vì cặp tiền có sự biến động cao và giá cao. Trong sự Giao dịch, cặp tiền EUUSD có tiền tệ chính là EUR (Euro) và tiền tệ tham chiếu là USD (US Dollar).
Biểu đồ tỷ giá của cặp ngoại hối EUUSD trong thị trường ngoại hối.
+ GBP/USD có tiền tệ chính là GBP (British Pound), tức tiền Bảng của nước Anh và tiền tệ tham chiếu là USD.
+ USD/JPY: có tiền tệ chính là USD (US Dollar) và tiền tệ tham chiếu là JPY (Japanese Yen) hoặc tiền yên của Nhật Bản.
+ USD/CHF có tiền tệ chính là USD Dollar Mỹ và tiền tệ tham chiếu là CHF (Swiss Franc) tiền tệ của nước Thủy Sĩ.
+ USD/CAD có tiền tệ chính là USD Dollar Mỹ và tiền tệ tham chiếu là CAD (Canadian Dollar) tiền tệ của nước Canada được gọi là Dollar Canada.
+ AUD/USD có tiền tệ chính là AUD (Australian Dollar) tiền tệ cua nước Úc và tiền tệ tham chiếu là USD Dollar Mỹ.
+ NZD/USD có tiền tệ chính là NZD (New Zealand Dollar) tiền tệ của nước New Zealand và tiền tệ tham chiếu là USD.
Trên là 7 cặp tiền tệ chính được giao dịch phổ biến nhất trên thị trường ngoại hối, bạn thích giao dịch với các cặp tiền nào? Chắc chắn bạn cũng có danh sách những cặp tiền tệ ưa thích cho riêng mình.
Chúc các bạn may mắn!
Xem thêm: https://kienthucforex.com/cac-cap-tien-te-chinh-trong-thi-truong-forex/
submitted by kienthucforex to u/kienthucforex [link] [comments]

Recession Imminent

Introducing the newest brand of full-blown autism™, I present to you the California / Europe ultimate bear portfolio! Based on a special blend of my extra chromosomes and a spicy mix of hate for California, this portfolio will blow average market returns out of the water based on the following assumptions (Cetaris Paribus):
  1. The world will enter a large economic recession within the next 12 months.
  2. Many Currency values will fall relative to others, however the Euro will be hit among the hardest.
  3. As unprofitable companies no longer have access to liquid credit or financing they will have to restructure their debt in some form.
  4. The highest density of unprofitable companies will continue to exist in California, and local California municipalities will not plan accordingly for a recession.
  5. European markets in general will fall quicker and with more momentum than US equity markets.
Feedback and thoughts requested please.

Symbol & Exchange Description Instrument Position Strategy Allocation (%)
CHF/EUR FOREX ICE Swiss Frank vs Euro Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 10
6EH2021 CME Euro Futures March 2021 Futures Contract Short 10
FXE NYSEARCA Invesco Currency Shares Euro Currency ETF ETF 15JAN 2021 $98 Strike Put Contract Long 10
GBP/EUR FOREX ICE Pound Sterling vs Euro Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 15
USD/EUR FOREX ICE U.S. Dollar vs Euro Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 5
CMF NYSEARCA California Municipal Bond ETF ETF Short 5
PZA NYSEARCA Invesco Nation AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF ETF Short 5
AUD/USD FOREX OANDA Australian Dollar vs U.S. Dollar Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 5
EZU BATS iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF ETF 15MAY2020 $37 Strike Put Contract Long 15
GDX NYSEARCA VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF ETF 15JAN2021 $35 Strike Call Contract Long 20
Edit: Typo, wrote put instead of call for GDX. Shame tables don't copy over from word / excel and you have to retype yourself.
submitted by chaney3 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

What’s going on with CHF?

I wrote this post yesterday: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/fe43t2/if_you_need_an_understanding_as_to_why_eurusd_has/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf
I just wanted to give a quick macro view on CHF.
If you take a look at a chart of EURCHF, you’ll see that it’s trading right at support.
This level tends to be where the Swiss National Bank intervenes in the market - and intervene they have been.
Just last week, the SNB increased sight deposits (reserves held at the SNB) by 3.5bn.
The week previous, this was 2.1bn.
Why have they done this?
Well, the SNB has been a massive investor in US equities.
Here’s there portfolio as of 31/12/2019: https://m.holdingschannel.com/13f/swiss-national-bank-top-holdings/
Yes they were selling well before the actual sell off started...
But what happens when they sell their equities holdings?
They have to repatriate to CHF - but there’s a dilemma...
They need a weaker CHF, so now they start buying foreign currencies to depreciate the value of the Franc.
The problem is that many see the Franc as a safe haven, so pile into it.
This is why we’re currently seeing EURCHF remain fairly balanced at support - there’s a battle going on between the Swiss National Bank and risk off investors.
So from here, you can build a macro trading plan.
Do we think that the Swiss National Bank can defend against euro weakness enough?
What might the ignition to the EURCHF sell off be?
My thoughts are that we look to the banking sector where it is over exposed to emerging markets currently under pressure (Turkey namely).
For example, German banks have a mere 0.3% return on assets - that is not sufficient and its likely that capital regulations (Basel) are going to be shown up to be highly flawed.
Just some more nollege.
submitted by GotNoCredditFam to Forex [link] [comments]

Eurozone vs US in an event of a recession. Possible plays?

Hello! This is more of a macroeconomic question but It seems very strange.
For Background I'm by no means a Professional Trader I'm a Finance Student in Zurich. And I've worked in UBS. I'm trading as an individual Investor for 2 years with around $15k in capital currently.
Before the last recession in 2007 the US Interest rates were around 5% and Eurozone at 3.25% (very high levels for our times).
Now approaching 10 years since the last recession the US interest rates are climbing and it looks like recession is on the way (with the flattening yield curve).
However Eurozone interest rates are at historic lows at -0.40% with no hike in sight.
With that in mind, It looks like US is due for a recession with high interest rates and 105% Debt to GDP. While the Eurozone seems nowhere near it with Dept to GDP at 85% and interest rates at historic lows.
Question is how to play off the situation? Equities seem dangerous everywhere. EU bonds are hardly worth it.
To me it seems like the only possible plays are Short ETF's or Long Term US Bond ETF's (Sadly I can't invest in them because of the EU regulation...)
That leaves the only possibility to make some profits from FOREX. Im currently holding a 10k Euro short position (because the difference in central bank policy). But I think that in an event of a Recession the dollar will fall and I should be Long EUUSD or CHF/USD.
Those are my thoughts. Please leave out yours so I could see someone else's point of view. Any advice would be much appreciated.
submitted by Br00dlord to StockMarket [link] [comments]

Holy shit! Swiss National Bank intervenes via FOREX markets, targets rate at 1.20

This is a huge move in FOREX terms http://i.imgur.com/NL6kL.png
(Reuters) - The Swiss National Bank said on Tuesday it would set a minimum exchange rate target of 1.20 francs to the euro and would enforce it by buying foreign currency in unlimited quantities.
Following are analysts' comments on the move.
"Dollayen has moved higher in a knee-jerk reaction, in line with a rise in risky assets in the wake of the SNB's move.
"That may come down to an expectation that we're going to see global policymakers reciprocate . and that this may represent the leading edge of a stronger response. But I think that those expectations are misplaced.
"What Swiss policymakers are doing won't be a concern to Japanese policymakers. I think that any expectation that this is a leading indicator for Japanese policy is misplaced.
"It's not to say we don't anticipate additional easing by the Bank of Japan . But that's a function of the domestic economy, it's not a function of what people are doing elsewhere."
Edit: adding comments from article:
JEREMY COOK, CHIEF ECONOMIST, WORLD FIRST, LONDON
"That was the single largest foreign exchange move I have ever seen. The Swiss franc has lost close on 9 percent in the past 15 minutes. This dwarfs moves seen post Lehman brothers, 7/7, and other major geo-political events in the past decade.
"The Swiss have had enough and have said today that they are willing to buy foreign currencies in 'unlimited amounts'. This is intervention on a grand scale.
"This turns up the heat on the euro zone and other economies who have benefited from weakening their currency in the past couple of years."
submitted by StockJock-e to investing [link] [comments]

Building an Open API for Fiat to Crypto gateway, KYC-less and with no accounts.

Hi, Alexis, CEO of Bity.com here. We have designed and built an open API that can be used to swap crypto with fiat. You can sell your BTC for EUR or CHF and we will make a bank transfer to your account. If you open a fiat to crypto order, you will receive instructions on how to send a bank wire to us. Once received, we will send you BTC on your wallet. In order to ensure Swiss AML standards, you will have to sign a message with the private key of the receiving account.
For regular users, on bity.com, you can make a simple payment using without the need of an account with us. Just follow the guide. This is basically like if you go to a forex shop and change some Euros notes for CHF notes.
For developers, we created some tools to help you integrate the API in your own application. The API was mainly designed to be implemented in wallets, but it can also be used elsewhere based on your needs. The documentation of the API is available at https://doc.bity.com/exchange/v2.html
On the frontpage, we have built an implementation of our API using our reference implementation in JS https://www.npmjs.com/package/@bity/react-exchange-client . This package is based on https://www.npmjs.com/package/@bity/api
Currently our API support BTC, ETH and CHF, EUR. For now it supports payments to IBAN accounts only. The limits are currently 5000 CHF per transaction per day, like on ATMs in Switzerland. Another limitation is the speed of Bank payments. When your transaction is confirmed, we send the Fiat payment immediately to our banks. But it can happen that the bank transfer itself takes few hours or days.
KYC-Less? We will still need the details associated to your bank account like your name and address. This not for KYC purpose, but because our bank will refuse to send a payment to an IBAN without us providing the proper name of the account holder. This data is actually routing data.
In the future? We want to add some more cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies, we want also to add support of non-IBAN accounts. We will also be adding an authentication layer that will allow verified Bity users to use the API without the limitations.
submitted by rachyandco to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

6 Major Currency Pairs

There are many popular currency pairs and there is a difference in outlook in all the major currency pairs and the list is always not definite. The list of 6 major currency pairs which will be presented is not best to worst but randomly selecting 6 major currency pairs

1) EUUSD:

Our first pick is EUUSD as it is one of the highest traded forex pairs around the globe. The euro, in this case, is base currency while the us dollar is the quote currency meaning that how many dollars you will need in order to purchase one euro. This currency pair is less volatile than other pairs as both of these currencies are backed by world’s two greatest economies.

2) GBP/USD:

In this currency pair, the GBP is used as base currency and USD as a quote currency showing how many US dollars you will be needing to purchase one pound. This currency pair is also known as ‘cable’ as they used deep-sea cables in order to transfer price info between New York and London.

3) USD/JPY:

In this case, the difference between the two currencies is very large but still this is a very major currency pair because of the low-interest rate policies of the bank of japan. In this currency pair the USD is used as base currency and JPY as a quote currency showing how many Japanese Yen you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar.

4) USD/CHF:

Just like yen, the Swiss franc is popular for its safe-haven investment that’s is why the Swiss Franc currency is popular among traders as it has lower amount of risk. In this currency pair the USD is used as base currency and CHF as a quote currency showing how many Swiss franc currency you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar.

5) AUD/USD:

In this currency pair, the USD is used as base currency and AUD as a quote currency showing how many Australian Dollars you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar. If you want to start trading between this pair you have to keep updated on the commodities as it tends to affect the overall currency fluctuation in Australian dollars.

6) USD/CAD:

In this currency pair, the USD is used as base currency and CAD as a quote currency showing how many Canadian Dollars you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar. The value of Canadian dollars depends on the price of oil as Canada’s main export is Oil. So when trading keeping price of oil in mind can drastically change the overall result.
Want know more please visit our Website : Signal Skyline
submitted by Andrew-Mark to u/Andrew-Mark [link] [comments]

Forex Currency Trading Company Facilitates Trades

Another way on how to master the electronic Forex Millennium Review currency trading is by taking formal training, meaning you have to sit in a classroom with other students like yourself who have the same aspiration of making big in the currency business. Generally, the lessons involved in the electronic currency trading classes are really designed to help not only the newbie traders but also the experts who want to sharpen their knowledge when it comes to trading.

Considered as the largest trading market on earth, currency trading is pegged to be trading over USD 2 trillion everyday. This figure greatly dwarfs the performance of the New York Stock Exchange, which gathers an estimated USD 50 billion each day. This comparison alone while help you imagine just how big a business currency trading is. Before anything else, you might be prompted to ask, "What is currency trading?"

Also known as Foreign Exchange, Forex, or FX, currency trading attracts a lot of investors in that it is a very liquid market to invest in. The potential for profit is huge but the risks too, are very high. Unlike the stock exchange, forex accumulates a huge volume of traders. The margins may be low, but the significantly big number of traders makes up for it. In effect, when you profit, and you invested a significant amount, you'd cash in on a very high profit. What is currency trading to some investors who can afford to lose is such a big risk to those who aren't too fluent about the business yet.

A nation's currency has a value in relation to another currency. As one buys and sells currency, one finds out that there are pairs of currencies that get traded 85% of total volume: US Dollar (USD) and Japanese Yen (JPY), Euro (EUR) and USD, USD and Swiss Franc (CHF), USD and Canadian Dollar (CAD), Australian Dollar (AUD) and USD, and British Pound (GBP) and USD.
https://supplementaudit.com/forex-millennium-review/
submitted by monamerlin to u/monamerlin [link] [comments]

How can we get profit by trading in forex?

Before knowing about profit first you should know what forex means. It is a currency exchange marketing forex is a virtual platform for profit-making it is a world market whole world can trade in this market. if you want to make money in forex you should go on because this platform is the most successful platform for money making.
Now how to get profit in forex, you can buy or sell currency the forex market runs 24 hours a day generally it is closed on Saturday and Sundays and first, you should determine whether you want to buy or sell if you want to buy which means you should buy the base currency and sell the quote currency. You want the base currency to fall in value then you would buy it back at the lower price
Traded in forex the simple answer is making ‘money’ because you are not buying anything physical think buying a currency of other countries same as buying the share like stock exchange.you can trade in many currencies but as a newcomer, you mainly focus on “major currency” CAD(Canadian dollar) USD(United States dollar) GBP(Great Britain pound) EUR(European euro) JPY(Japanese yen) AUD(Australian dollar) CHF(Swiss franc) NZD(New Zealand dollar) the currency included in upper lines are the major currency because it is the all-time first choice of the traders
Because forex is so good at profit-making numbers of different ways to invest and trade in it and there many benefits and advantages of forex trading and how no. of people from all over the world trading in forex some advantages of forex is, no commission, fixed lot size, low transaction cost, a 24 hour market, no one can corner the market, leverage, high liquidity, low barriers to entry, free stuff everywhere, etc
Effect of Leverage in forex? Leverage is mostly used in forex trading market leverage allowed the traders to use the purchase multiple time in multiple statements leverage in many investments included by the forex market applies both profit and loss thus the forex market can get the traders to bring gain in their investments to higher level
And now you should know everything about what is forex why is forex trading is profitable and how you make up with forex trading market and now you see when you can trade on it in before line I say that forex market is open in 24 hours a day but fact is that it doesn’t mean it always active the entire day if you want to make money you should focus on when market moves up and also you can make money when market is moved down this will take your time but it will gain you more profit.
If you want to make money in forex you should go on with guidance which was provided if you are interested in trading in forex and to make more money to get the gaining profit
For, more details you can visit Forex Trading Strategies that work
submitted by Linda0987 to u/Linda0987 [link] [comments]

Your AM Global Stocks Preview and a whole lot more news that you need to read: Global stocks are dropping following economic contraction in two of the world’s largest economies

US Stocks


Stocks Trending in the News

Click name for Q-Factor breakdown, latest price details, more financial info and sentiment data.

European Stocks


Asian Stocks


submitted by QuantalyticsResearch to stocks [link] [comments]

Forex and Bitcoin Volume Comparison and Political Implications

Follow the Money. Interesting that out of the top 8 Bitcoin traded countries/currency only 4 (USD, JPY, EURO and GBD) are in the top 8 Forex pairings. The others are minor currencies. (Top 8 Bitcoin by Volume are : USD, JPY, EURO, GBD, KRW, PLN, TRY, RUB/RUR)
Top 8 Forex crosses are:
EuUSD
USD/JPY
GBD/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CHF
USD/CAD
EUJPY
EUCHF
Based upon this we can conclude that in Korea, Poland, Russia and Turkey there is a feeling of unrest among those with discretionary cash. Why put them in bitcoin if you feel secure? Are tariffs, sanctions, internal unrest reasons? Follow the money and your questions will be answered.
submitted by profblockchaindfw to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Turkish Unrest and Bitcoin Volume=Regime Troubles

Citizens when they are witness to economic unrest in their own countries usually begin to buy foreign currency and keep it in reserve against the devaluation of their own currency. This is normal during troubled times, and we were beginning to see the same thing occurring in Turkey. However, Erdogan thisa number of weeks ago called for all Turkish citizens to sell their foreign currencies to prop up the Lira. This sort of a call is usually code for “we are going to confiscate your money when we find it” so you better sell it now, as well as a tacit admission that the Lira’s value is in serious trouble. Thus, the economy as well.
In my opinion due to the tacit threat of monetary confiscation we are now seeing a flight to bitcoin and this is also a clue to the unrest that Erdogan is dealing with. Why is this problematic? Since Turkey can’t confiscate currency that is online and untraceable. We can see the flight to Bitcoin by comparing Forex crosses against bitcoin volume.
In this light we can see a trend whereby that out of the top 8 Bitcoin traded countries/currency (USD, JPY, EURO, GBD, KRW, PLN, TRY, RUB/RUR) only 4 (USD, JPY, EURO and GBD) are in the top 8 Forex pairings. The others are minor currencies.
The Top 8 Forex crosses are:
EUUSD 37% of total volume
USD/JPY 13% of total volume
GBD/USD 12% of total volume
AUD/USD 6% of total volume
USD/CHF 5% of total volume
USD/CAD 4% of total volume
EUJPY 2% of total volume
EUCHF 2 % of total volume
Based upon the comparison between the Bitcoin and Forex Volume we can conclude that there is a feeling of unrest in Korea, Poland, Russia and Turkey. Why put discretionary cash in bitcoin if you feel secure! Add to this the protests, negative economic indicators and international isolation and we can conclude that Turkey is ripe for unrest and the citizens wanting regime change. This does not mean that they will succeed as Erdogan controls the military. However, as we have seen in the past (example the revolution in Egypt) once the upper echelon of the army personally starts to feel the economic results of its leaders’ policies and the people start to demand change, the military almost always sides with the people for their own self-preservation and the betterment of the country they serve.
submitted by profblockchaindfw to economy [link] [comments]

Upto 150£ with FinecoBank. The promo has been extended up to December 2018!


AA7775687
is the Fineco Promo friend code to get up to 150£ opening a FinecoBank UK current account. NO DEPOSIT IS REQUIRED!

In order to obtain the bonus you must:
- Complete the Fineco UK account opening procedure in the period between 08/09/2018
and 11/12/2018, adding, in the appropriate field, the friend code provided
by the host (Fineco Italia account holder). I'm Italian and I may give you the code.

The PROMO CODE is:
AA7775687

- Perform at least 1 purchase/sale transaction of financial instruments on
the Equiduct/Xetra, Dow Jones, Borsa Italiana, FTSE and CAC markets
and on the following bond markets: Mot, Emot and Etlx.

You can purchase a minimun stock (so you'll spend £3.95 per order)

You and I will receive both 50£.
(50 - 3,95 = 45,95£ is you earn)

Moreover you will receive an additional bonus of £100 by placing an additional 5 trades
on the following stock markets: Equiduct/Xetra, Dow Jones, Borsa Italiana,
FTSE and CAC, or on the following bond markets: Mot, Emot and Etlx.

So placing 6 orders by purchasing a minimun stock you'll spend £3.95 x 6

You will receive 150£- (3,95 x 6) = 126,3£

A buy and a sell counts for 2 orders.

The code has no limit for you (the guest). It can be used to open more accounts. So it will be valid ever

Fineco current account gives:
- One multicurrency account for all your banking and trading
- GBP and EUR Debit Cards
- No monthly account management fees
- No currency conversion fees when paying and withdrawing in Euro using your EUR Card
- No annual fees for the first card for each account holder
- Fineco Visa Debit Card
Accepted anywhere in the world with a Visa symbol. You can even use
euros or pounds.
- Big ticket MaxiPurchases
- MaxiPurchases for payments of up to £10,0009.
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OTP: The one time password feature to confirm bank transfers and sign
contracts.
-UK and International Bank Transfers
Transfers to 250 destinations, in 20 different currencies4.
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And if you want to invest money:
- Trade directly in GBP, EUR, USD or CHF from a multicurrency account
- No custody or administration fees
- No minimum deposit required, it’s up to you what you want to invest.
- Flat fees on UK, EU and US Stocks and ETFs, from £3.95 per order
- Spread o.8 points on CFDs Forex and 1 point on CFDs Indices and Commodities.

Here is the direct link to the opening form:
https://finecobank.com/uk/apriconto/scelta-online-cp?cp=AA7775687

This is the link at the promo rules:
https://finecobank.co.uk/uk/promo/mgm42/details.html

Main page of the promo (Italian Fineco member present Uk member) at:
https://finecobank.com/uk/online/mgm.html
submitted by giocoforzauno to beermoneyuk [link] [comments]

Your PM US Stocks and a whole lot more news that you need to read: US stocks close lower, pare earlier losses on Brexit progress

US Markets End of Day Snapshot


Stocks Trending in the News

Click name for Q-Factor rating and financials data.

US Treasuries


Currencies


Commodities


submitted by QuantalyticsResearch to stocks [link] [comments]

Follow the Money: How a Comparison between Bitcoin and Forex Volume serves as a bellwether for political unrest.

Follow the Money. Interesting that out of the top 8 Bitcoin traded countries/currency (USD, JPY, EURO, KRW, GBD, PLN, TRY, RUB/RUR) only 4 (USD, JPY, EURO and GBD) are in the top 8 Forex pairings. The others are minor currencies.
Top 8 Forex crosses are:
EuUSD
USD/JPY
GBD/USD
AUD/USD
USD/CHF
USD/CAD
EUJPY
EUCHF
Based upon the comparison between the Bitcoin and Forex Volume we can conclude that in Korea, Poland, Russia and Turkey (numbers 4, 6, 7 and 8 on bitcoin chart) there is a feeling of unrest among those with discretionary cash. Why put discretionary cash in bitcoin if you feel secure? Are tariffs, sanctions, internal unrest reasons? Follow the money and your questions will be answered.
submitted by profblockchaindfw to economy [link] [comments]

Correlations

I bring this to light because 1. A lot(lol) of money was lost and gained on the Euro this week and 2. Because every trader should trade the shit out of correlations.
As most of you know the US Dollar Index is inversely correlated with EUUSD. Similarly, USD/CHF acts in a very similar fashion. I actually cheated a little and shorted swissy instead of even touching the euro after getting blown out of 2 short scalps.
Obviously important areas on D
4H to see things more clearly, added a zone
Two 1H closes (last 2 arrows) below support. first arrow highlights it acting as temporary support which is further entry confirmation when they close below
Many times what is not clear on a certain instrument is VERY clear on a correlated instrument. Hopefully others can chip in with correlations they trade.
Edit: Why futures are better than forex (and thus require more capital)
submitted by HoyES to Forex [link] [comments]

In Search of the Best Yen Pair

This will be a wall of text, but with pictures! I'm going to attempt to analyse USD/JPY, EUJPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, CAD/JPY, CHF/JPY, and ZAJPY. I'm really interested in your feedback, especially from the guys who are good with the supply/demand levels :)
A thought occurred to me while I was regretting eating McDonalds for dinner last night. When there are strong directional moves by one pair, associated pairs and crosses will move in the same way - especially if that move is the result of only one of those currencies strengthening or weakening. Often however, its the associated pairs that will offer a cleaner technical setup.
The purpose of this post is to identify a Yen pair that has the greatest upside potential in the event of the Yen weakening again. It might take a long time to get back up to the highs, so I want a currency with a really good outlook. If you think there is a strong case for a continued move to the downside, I really want to hear it as well.
Likewise on the last big leg up in USD/JPY, when we cracked 100 and then some, I actually lost out a little bit by spreading my trades across EUJPY, USD/JPY and GBP/JPY - the rationale being that if the Yen weakened rapidly, the risk trades would do the best against them rather than the dollar (which normally has quite muted moves whenever the Yen weakens rapidly). Except in that case it was the dollar strengthening, and the Yen fought back against the Euro and Pound.
So I got thinking: one of these pairs must have the cleanest technicals, the simplest fundamentals, and offer the best risk:reward potential for a trade to the upside - especially since it's the BoJ in 2 days.
I'm going to go through the suspects one by one, and just do some basic technical and fundamental analysis. I will only be using trendlines, fibonacci levels and the 50 & 100D SMAs.
For the purpose of simplicity I have ignored price data pre mid-2012, as most of those levels are gone now. Except the one we're at now - in almost all pairs the current level has been a significant pivot, dating back a few years.
Starting with /forex's most hated pair:
USD/JPY
http://i.imgur.com/W8DRrkU.png
Technicals 100 is once again a significant obstacle, and I expect sideways action between here and 96, if the selloff doesn't continue. The Yen might weaken again very sharply, but so also might the dollar. We have a fairly clear and convincing trendline break, and I'm regretting getting in long. We might have a low in place, but we also might not. We are currently supported at a critical level by the 100DMA and the 0.23 fib, as well as a known demand level. A break lower here targets 95 and then 93.50.
Fundamentals We will need a dollar rally as well as a Yen rout to climb quickly, and I'm unwilling to play only one and not the other. Without signs that the US will slow easing and Japan will at least keep it up, we do not have the fundamental driver to push very much higher.
Trades I'm not sure the best trade is to be found here, in either direction. Long seems to be the way forward, but we need some convincing. Otherwise it's sell rallies into 100.
EUJPY
http://i.imgur.com/ETkvc23.png
Technicals If we're looking for the best technical setup for a long, we might have it here. We've spiked through this pair's most significant demand level, bounced off the 100DMA, and closed above the trend line. It's a fairly simple picture.
Fundamentals I am slightly concerned by the Euro's lacklustre performance against everything besides the dollar. EUGBP is down, EUAUD didn't add 200 pips in the last session, etc. That said, I think that the Eurozone is going to start impressing people soon, as long as they can avoid another sovereign debt crisis. Which they won't. It will happen and when it does it will suck this pair down the suck hole faster than USD/JPY ever could.
Trades The problem here is that the bottom of Friday's hammer is 280 fucking pips away. I don't know about you guys but I don't like setting stops 280 pips away, especially with limited upside potential right now. I would look for a higher low to form first before getting in long - maybe around 128.50.
A new Eurozone crisis, continued Yen strength and a break of Friday's low could send this pair screeching to a spike low of 115 in a matter of minutes, in my opinion.
GBP/JPY
http://i.imgur.com/gv5WVy5.png
Technicals Another good long tech setup. A Head and Shoulders pattern was broken and completed on Thursday, with a close above the trend line.
Fundamentals The UK economy is looking better than it has all year, and its recovery is looking set to overtake the Eurozone's. However, Mark Carney comes in next month and we might be staring down the barrel of more dovish MP. This could destroy Cable's fragile recovery, which is showing signs of weakness at a previous pivot level and significant fib.
Trades Going long here seems like the obvious choice. A stop would need to be quite wide, but below Thursday's low would probably be sufficient, as we could probably see Friday's low as a bizarre volatility spike that had very little to do with the Pound or the Yen. Mind you that is still 160 pips away, so either wait for a dip or keep your position size very small.
AUD/JPY
http://i.imgur.com/EDZigYP.png
Technicals This is not a chart that screams, "go long", and it makes me worry about the other Yen pairs' upside potential. It could well be that the next significant move lower starts here, as the Aussie continues its collapse. Currently holding at the 50% fib and 200DMA, but any trendlines are long gone and we can expect price consolidation as long as we do not go lower.
Fundamentals China released a lot of bad data this weekend, some neutral data, and no good data. The Aussie and Kiwi underperformed against the USD this week, despite being given a massive head start. There is huge scope for further easing, and this currency is strictly in "sell rallies" mode. A gold and commodities recovery is the only thing that will save the Australian dollar.
Trades I don't like it either way. As has been said on this sub before: what a c*nt of a pair.
NZD/JPY
http://i.imgur.com/5pEnfhq.png
Technicals An even uglier picture than AUD/JPY, but we have spiked off the 0.38 fib and closed above the 200DMA, if that means anything. A break of Friday's low could get extremely bad very quickly, but this pair isn't known to really motor.
Fundamentals The Kiwi actually performed worse than the Aussie this week, closing at the lows and through significant support, while the Aussie staged a late rally. It's hard to be bullish either of these currencies. This is purely due to the commodities slump. Despite tightening MP, the Kiwi looks particularly vulnerable as the entire bloc collapses.
Trades I'm not sure the best trade is here, but if Yen strength continues then selling a rally into 77.50 looks like a good play.
CAD/JPY
http://i.imgur.com/AdcnwkO.png
Technicals 97.50 is the bull/bear line here and we're well through it, so we would need a close above here to be really bullish. Price bounced off the 0.23 fib and 100DMA, and 97.50 once again offers the most serious upside resistance. A break lower here targets 91.50
Fundamentals The Canadian dollar staged a late rally on Friday on the back of ridiculously good employment data. USD/CAD is now at descending channel support and the 50% fib of the recent rally, so I would be careful either way. Otherwise I don't know much about the Canadian fundamental picture, but I believe they're happy to see Carney go.
Trades Not really sure what to do here. If anyone is more familiar with this pair, let's hear it. Otherwise I'm gonna stay out of this one.
CHF/JPY
http://i.imgur.com/4vvoI2o.png
Technicals CHF/JPY was actually the biggest gainer in % terms when Japan first announced its QE program. Since then it hasn't done much. Trendline is gone but we've bounced off the 100DMA, which has provided support before. We need above 105 to get really bullish here. There is a very long broken wedge which technically targets 93.
Fundamentals I expect the Swiss Franc to weaken if the stock market recovers from here. If it doesn't, and we see a continued decline in stocks, the Yen will strengthen more than the Franc, so we'll probably head down some more. Overall it doesn't look good for this pair. If USD/JPY recovers sharply, USD/CHF probably will as well, so gains here will be muted. If on the other hand gains are driven by fundamental Yen weakening in response to more QE, would could see a large move to the upside.
Trades Buy on a break and hold of 105 only.
ZAJPY
http://i.imgur.com/SYiZZpd.png
I just put this up for the lolz. Something has gone horribly wrong for South Africa, so if you think the Aussie's had it bad...
Technicals A break of the 50% fib gives us real cause for concern here. If the Rand continues to weaken as a result of gold weakening, we could see the rally fully retraced. Expect consolidation.
Fundamentals The Rand performed worst of all the commodity currencies, as gold continues to slide (it recently broke out of its consolidation to the upside, only to crash on Friday to confirm a break lower again, targeting $1350). When USD/JPY collapsed on Thursday, USD/ZAR barely blinked. I've been trading it to the upside on dips, but 10.00 seems to be capping moves for now. If gold does not recover sharply, the South African economy is going to suffer very badly.
Trades F that noise. Buy USD/ZAR on a break of 10.25, or sell it on a break out of consolidation.
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

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